Suppose one of the top three candidates “runs the Table”

Suppose one of the top three candidates “runs the Table”

Which state puts the top candidate beyond a simple majority of delegates?

Let {C1,C2,C3} be {Cruz,Rubio,Trump} and Let C1 win 100% in the

‘winner-take-all’ states and 50% in the states dividing delegates proportionally.

Add the delegates from Feb-June to project the running cumulative results:

IA15+NH12+SC25+NV15+AL25+AL14+AR20+GA38+MA21+MN19+OK22+TE29+TX78+VT8+VA25+WY15+KS20+KY23+LA24+ME12+PR12+HI10+ID16+MI30+MS20+USVI5+Guam5+DC10+FL99+IL69+MO52+NC36+M9+OH66+Samoa9+AZ58+UT20+ND28+WI42+CO37+NY95+CT14+DE16+MD38+PA54+RI10+IN57+NE36+WV34+OR14+WA22+CA172+MT27+NJ51+NM12+SD29.

Adding these delegates will give us a “rough guestimate” of what to expect:

IA15+NH27+SC52+NV67+AL92+AL106+AR126+GA164+MA185+MN204+OK226+TE255+TX333+VT341+VA366+WY381+KS401+KY424+LA448+ME460+PR1462+HI472+ID488+MI518+MS538+USVI543+Guam548+DC558+FL657+IL726+MO778+NC814+M823+OH889+Samoa898+AZ956+UT976+ND1004+WI1046+CO1083+NY1178+CT1129+DE1208+MD1246+PA1300+RI1310+IN1367+NE1403+WV1437+OR1451+WA1473+CA1645+MT1672+NJ1723+NM1735+SD1764.

Maryland and Pennsylvania vote on April 26^th, not that far away, to exceed the 1,237 delegate simple-majority. Still, there will be a somewhat open convention.

PS: Current NRC rules: C2 & C3 need to win eight states to stay in.

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