<b>Donald Trump has the momentum.</b>  When he is in the 'margin-of-error' you know that the BREXIT effect will carry the MOMENTUM into the White House.  Count on Obamacare to make a difference, the Supreme Court possibilities, and other points of Trump's positive message.

Here's a note today from FoxNews.com    "The Fox News Decision Team announced updates to the scorecard Thursday afternoon, reflecting the following changes based on recent polling and other factors:
     >>> Ohio moves from "toss-up" to "lean Republican"
     >>> Indiana moves from "lean Republican" to "solid Republican"  
     >>>  Missouri moves from "lean Republican" to "solid Republican"

But look at it this way (in addition):  Whenever a blue state is flipped to red, in addition to delegates added to Trump, the delta-effect is <i><b>double</i></b>, taking that number away from Mrs Clinton.

Here are the battleground states noted on the FoxNews electoral college map:

 Delegate    Double                 State
=========    ========    ===============
   15              30                North Carolina
   13              26                Virginia
   20              40                Pennsylvania
    5               10                New Mexico
    9               18                Colorado
   10              20                MN
   10              20                Wisconsin
=========    ========    ===============
   82            164               The Total DELTA (difference-change)

Look at this interactive website for current bogus estimates:

                              www.270toWin.com/

It shows Clinton=258   Toss-up=117   and Trump=163
So apply the DELTA for new preliminary estimates:
Coming to  Clinton=176  Toss-up=117  and Trump=245
and adding the 'toss-up states' you come to   Trump=362
which as people will see after the MOMENTUM comes in is more than 270.  Of course, California and NY could also go Trump!

=========    ========    ===============
   29               58                 New York
   55              110                California
=========    ========    ===============

The Mormon vote will go to Trump

Even though Donald J. Trump is going to win the six (winner-take-all) Utah delegates to the 2016 Electoral College, the run of the anti-Trump anti-HRC candidate was interesting. It is not just in Utah, but Idaho and other states. The LDS population in USA is equal to the Jewish church population.

So "What is with the Utah sentiment?" a friend/mentor of mine asks.  A good question.

Donald-Trump-GOP-Mormon-vote-Utah (Atlantic Journal)

This Atlantic Journal article on March 22, 2016, is excellent and explains it very well. (1) Swearing of Trump.  [But if you are not swearing-mad, you don't see the cliff we are about to go over!]  So that would be the desire for 'decorum' to be 'presidential'.  Was Obama presidential?  (2) Refugees/Immigrants.  LDS are 'big' on bringing in true refugees.  [Intelligent LDS Republicans will see through the hit-rhetoric of the opposition to understand that yes, Jihadists do want to kill us for their Caliphate, and yes, felons cross our southern border many times after being deported, or not, and also kill us.]

Issues are more important than speech and NY-talk is to overstate (which kept Trump in the news for free coverage, (1) Overstating in truth; (2) Waiting, then negotiating back; (3) Settling in on a compromise position.  So (a) stop all Muslims until "we figure out what the HELL is going on!" then settling on (b) exclude nations that say "Kill Israel and the Big Satan (usa)".

Further, intelligent LDS Republicans that listen closely remember that when Trump was challenged for saying that Mexico was purposefully sending us their felons, he said, "Who do you think is doing the raping and murdering?" [inferring it was repeat-deportees]. This goes along with supporting the border patrol, ICE, and the local police, (plus the WALL, with a big 'legal' door).

Yes, the lying/evil media (not all of them, but many of them, plus tag-alongs) support the ESTABLISHMENT and have betrayed American interests, as noted by the next president. Many in Utah don't watch Hannity on FoxNews (cable/satellite TV) or listen to Rush Limbaugh (radio while they are working).  For many in Utah the truth is too brutal to hear and they live in passive-peaceful-bliss.

The article is right that Mitt Romney had a HUGE influence on LDS/Mormons.  But in the end, most LDS will be like 20million Americans who will vote for Trump and deny it the next day, or just be silent about their patriotic and wise vote to win the Supreme Court and JOBS.

Donald-Trump-GOP-Mormon-vote-Utah (Atlantic Journal)

Mrs Clinton (and First Spouse) isn't going to win anything .!.

www.washingtonexaminer.com/5-reasons-hillary-can-lose-trump-win/article/2606002

1 - The FBI's decision changes the conversation of the election and undermines Clinton. "This will just hang out there as a dark cloud allowing people – especially undecided voters who have been wavering – to be reminded of why they have been having a rough time coming to grips with voting for Clinton in the first place."

2 - It could supercharge Clinton's drop in the polls as Trump is rising.

3 - Millennials, distrusting of both candidates, may run from Clinton. "News like this only raises doubts among a group that has not been very enthusiastic toward her candidacy."

4 - The email affair reminds people of their dislike of Clinton. "Regardless of the decades of public service and advocacy, Bill and Hillary Clinton always seem to have the smell of self-aggrandizement surrounding them."

5 - Linking former Rep. Anthony Weiner and the FBI probe of his sexting to Clinton is unhelpful. "The last name she or any Democrat needs to hear right now is Anthony Weiner. Whether this is fair or not, it will be very difficult for Clinton to take the high moral ground when the lowest of the low is linked to her and her campaign."

ED:  And yes, it is a 'binary' race, (Republican OR Democrat only!)

Mrs. Hillary Rodham C. Could Win Utah (six delegates)

If 'good' Mormon Evan McMullin splits the Republican vote, it could be like Ross Perot.
On the other hand, expect the best Republicans to unite to Trump, winner-takes-all .!.
Utah DeseretNews.com Article: "Trump, HRC Scramble!"

"For the Clinton campaign, it would be a real coup to take a state that has been Republican for so long," said former political pollster Scott Rasmussen, who founded the widely respected Rasmussen Reports. "For Donald Trump, the notion of losing this state would be horrific."

And if he had to guess right now, Rasmussen said he would pick McMullin to win Utah.

"I think there are an awful lot of people who are taking a different type of conscience vote. They're going to say, 'Let's send a message,'" Rasmussen said in an interview.

Rasmussen, who left Rasmussen Reports three years ago, and Karl Zinsmeister, former chief domestic policy adviser in the George W. Bush administration, were in Utah Tuesday to speak at Sutherland Institute, a conservative public policy think tank.

Rasmussen said what's happening in Utah might be the most interesting election story of the year. Various polls have McMullin ahead or even with the major party candidates in the state. Utah would "absolutely not" be drawing the notice of Trump and Clinton were McMullin not in the race, he said.

Trump's running mate and Indiana Gov. Mike Pence is scheduled to hold a rally Wednesday at the Infinity Event Center in Salt Lake City. Trump spoke at the same venue earlier this year. Pence also was the keynote speaker at Sen. Mike Lee's Utah Solutions Summit and held a fundraiser in the state last month.

Los Angeles Foreign Affairs Council ('R' vs 'D' debate)

Robert C. O'Brien (R) and Derek Shearer (D)

Summary: Debating the Next President's Foreign Policy   Whoever wins the White House in November, Republican or Democrat, they will face a turbulent world. From the brutal civil war in Syria, the global terrorist threat from ISIS and a hostile government in Tehran to aggression from Moscow, an increasingly assertive China, a mounting loss of faith in global free trade and the world's largest number of refugees since the end of World War II, many challenges face the next US President. We asked two foreign policy experts, one Republican and one Democrat, to debate the best options for the incoming president. Robert O'Brien, a lawyer who was appointed by President George W Bush as a US representative to the UN and advised Mitt Romney, made the Republican case. Derek Shearer, a professor at Occidental College who was in the Commerce Department and then served as US Ambassador to Finland under President Clinton, made the case for the Democrats. On Syria, O'Brien said that despite the vows after the Rwandan genocide in 1994 of "never again", it is, tragically, happening again in Syria, with more than 400,000 dead. He said the Obama administration bore much of the blame, having not reacted when the Assad government crossed the "red line" and thereby losing US credibility in the region. He said the US should adopt a much tougher approach in Syria, and certainly should not be allowing Russia to set the terms of the conflict. "Whoever invites Russia into a place where humanitarian aid is needed does not remember what happened when the Soviet Union entered Afghanistan." Shearer pushed back on Syria, saying it cannot be seen as a rerun of a Cold War conflict, and said the only thing that the US can do now is create some safe zones where people can take refuge internally while we negotiate with the Russians to stop bombing civilian areas. But Syria, said Shearer, is a failed state, and the American people don't want the US to be a global policeman any more. "This is an international issue and we need to make use of our allies and partners." In a broader context, Shearer said that he is hopeful for a more bipartisan foreign policy after the next election - "because we haven't had one in a generation." He said he thought a President Clinton would be able to work with Republicans and bring them into the administration - "during the Obama administration, the Republican position was that anything he did was wrong - that isn't the way to a bipartisan platform."   Asked about the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, O'Brien said the next president should "tear it up on day one." He said it was the worst case of appeasement since the 1938 Munich agreement made by Neville Chamberlain with Adolf Hitler, and said it would be a grave mistake if President Obama thought this deal was going to help his legacy. Shearer attacked O'Brien vigorously, saying "what Robert has just described is a prescription for wider and endless war - this is the same mindset that let the Bush administration to invade Iraq." He said that Iran was on a path to develop nuclear weapons, and this agreement has at least stopped that for the time being. "We are not in a Cold War situation with the people of Iran - we are simply in disagreement with the government of Iran."   The debate moved to Russia, where O'Brien said that defense sequestration and "massive cuts to the US military" have made it more attractive to potential aggressors to invade a US ally. "All of a sudden, the Baltics look appealing to Putin." O'Brien said the US should move more troops to Europe to stand up to Russia and dissuade Putin from any further territorial advances.   Shearer was less intimidated by Russia, who he said "makes nothing that anyone else wants to buy." He painted a picture of a decaying country with bad social and medical services and internal strife and popular discontent. "Putin uses these aggressive moves to build up Russian nationalism" - as a way of distracting attention from his own domestic failings. "Putin in tactically smart, but strategically weak." In response, the US should be more sophisticated in the ways we use our economic power and diplomacy to contain the Russian leader.   O'Brien said that he will never forget when Mitt Romney, as the Republican candidate in 2012, "was mocked for calling Russia the most immediate threat to the US." Shearer agreed that the sequestration is a bad system and said we should indeed maintain our defense spending, but said "we still have the strongest military on the face of the earth," and said we need to be smarter in how we use that power.   In contrast to Putin, who may be good tactically but lacking in any strategic vision, China is almost exactly the opposite, with a long term strategic vision but short term it is often tactically clumsy. Shearer said that the US will continue being a Pacific power - "we've been in Asia for a very long time and we aren't leaving." On dealing with China he said that "China isn't our enemy, it is our competitor."   O'Brien said that the rise of China "is the biggest story of this century - and a lot of it is positive." But despite the economic growth, "the problem is that China is an expansionist power - they have taken over Tibet, they are claiming the entire South China Sea, and they have designs on Taiwan." O'Brien said China must understand that "America is going to stand by its allies", and Beijing cannot bully its democratic neighbors.   Finally on global trade and the Trans Pacific Partnership that was intended to link the US with 11 countries around the Pacific rim, Shearer said he thought it unlikely that it would pass before the end of the current administration, and should Clinton be elected she would probably revisit it later. But he observed that this presidential election is the first one ever where globalization played a central role - or more accurately, the opposition to globalization. "Trade has become a dirty word in this election," said Shearer - and that bodes trouble for whoever moves into the White House next January.  Sincerely,   Terry McCarthy President and CEO PS, Neither is voting for Trump, (unless secretly),  FYI.

BOTTOM LINE: Trump specifics (UK reporting)

Count on London to do better reporting than the Establishment-NEWSGATE evil cabal.
From their article: Trump's Contract with American voters

TRUMP'S ANTI-CORRUPTION TO-DO LIST 

1. Constitutional Amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress 

2. Hiring freeze on federal employees to reduce the workforce through attrition 

3. Requirement to eliminate two federal regulations for every new one 

4. Five-year-ban on White House and Congressional officials becoming lobbyists 

5. Lifetime ban on White House officials lobbying for foreign governments 

6. Complete ban on foreign lobbyists raising money for American elections

TRUMP'S PLEDGES ON IMMIGRATION AND 'RULE OF LAW'

1. Cancel Obama's 'unconstitutional' executive actions, memoranda and orders

2. Pick a conservative replacement for Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia 

3. Cancel all federal funding to 'sanctuary cities' that harbor illegal immigrants

4. Begin removing the 2 million criminal illegal immigrants from the U.S., and cancel visas to countries that won’t repatriate them 

5. Suspend immigration from terror-prone regions where incoming people can't be properly vetted.

TRUMP'S PLAN FOR JOBS AND TRADE 

1. Renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement or withdraw from it 

2. Withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership

3. Order the secretary of the treasury to label China a 'currency manipulator' 

4. Use U.S. and international laws to end foreign trading abuses that unfairly impact American workers

5. Lift restrictions on the production of $50 trillion dollars’ worth of U.S. energy reserves including shale, oil, natural gas and coal

6. Approve the Keystone XL pipeline project and other 'vital energy infrastructure projects' 

7. Cancel billions in payments to U.N. climate change programs and use the money to improve U.S. water and environmental infrastructure

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3861392/Trump-prepares-Gettysburg-address-unveiling-100-days-agenda-aides-say-Hillary-just-waiting-clock.html

Trump confident in Ohio (day after Debate)

Trump confident in Ohio, shown in a 30-min video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki6lvK1_Hpg 

Donald J. Trump amplifies that it is his constitutional right to have an election without voter fraud and there are measures in place to review close elections that have a suspicion of fraud.  He mentions that dead people have voted, and even one dead Republican switched to Democrat before voting.  1.8million people who are dead are registered, and 2.8million citizens are registered in more than one state. 14% of non-citizens are registered to vote.  Laws are triggered in the case of fraud.

Trump said today, “Why waive your right to a legal recount in a close election?”

He will merge the many competing organizations working on international deals into one under the Commerce Department, called “The American Desk” to rework the trade deals we have with nations.  He will have them renegotiate NAFTA and TPP or rip them up and deal directly with individual nations.

“Listen to this—you won’t believe it:  America has lost 70,000 factories since China joined WTO, World Trade Organization.”

Lower the business tax from 35% to 15%.

Rebuild our inner cities:     3,500 people have been shot in Chicago since the beginning of the year.

“Let me state this as clearly as I can:  If I am elected president of the United States, I am going to keep radical Islamic terrorists the HELL out of our country!”   

“A Trump administration will secure and patrol our borders” rather than say “Stand down.” ... “And yes, we will build The WALL, and Mexico will pay for it.”

I will quickly cut off federal funding for sanctuary cities. 

“To sum up, here are some of the things we will do in 2017”

        The biggest tax cuts since Ronald Reagan;

        Eliminate every unnecessary job-killing regulation;

        Defend our religious liberty;

        Provide school-choice to every low-income child in America;

        End Common Core, education is going to be brought ‘local’;

        Totally support the men and women of law enforcement;

        We will save the Second Amendment which is under siege;

I will appoint justices to the U.S. Supreme Court who uphold and defend the Constitution;

  

Our campaign is powered by our love for our country and our fellow beings. 

Imagine what we could do, working together as one nation, under one God, saluting one American flag.

This is a movement like nobody has ever seen in this country before.

You will look back and be so proud of your country again.  When we win we will make America wealthy again, we will make America strong again,  we will make America safe again, and we will make America great again.  Thank You everybody, Thank You Ohio, God Bless You,  God bless you, thank you.    {[(music)]}